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Don’t you find it amazing that in a country where people’s feelings, sensitivities, moods, prejudices and perceptions are such a dominant social phenomenon so little study is done into emotion?

We are constantly hearing politicians, media analysts and every kind of researcher chirping on and on about facts and, in the process, decrying perceptions.

I was shocked when I first encountered this form of mental paralysis in the late 1990s at Business Against Crime. While it was patently obvious that the perceptions of ordinary people were that crime was out of control, life was constantly under threat, the police were grossly inept and woefully out-classed and the ANC government couldn’t give a heap of lawn fertiliser for doing anything about it, their feelings, perceptions were arbitrarily and churlishly pooh-poohed by the very people who should have known better.

With the benefit of hindsight, I should not have felt so angry and frustrated at the time. After all, the bosses were all big-time business boykies who deal only in “facts”.

Judging by the terrifying torpor that prevails from Postmasburg to Pretoria and the attitude of our new flashionista top cop and king of bling, Bheki Cele, those mindsets that went out of fashion before the Berlin Wall came down still prevail. The perverted notion that keeping people in the dark is good for them because the less they know the happier they’ll be.

The idea was stupidity personified in 1998. In the wired world of Twitter, Facebook and search engine optimisation such ideas are downright bloody dangerous, aggravating rather than ameliorating the crisis.

Being active on more than 20 foreign and international research panels into everything from racial and ethnic attitudes to advertising and pharmaceuticals, I’m dumbfounded firstly by the dearth of the kind of research called “sentiment analysis”, and secondly by the superficiality of so much that passes for research these days — if anyone ever does research any more anyway.

Sure there are a number of reputable and authoritative organisations involved in research from the Human Sciences Research Council to Markinor to universities. From time to time the results of their work are published, but too often in a sanitised and politically correct format. Is it because the bean-counters and piper-payers are fixated on quantifiable data? Is it that they only comprehend the language of numbers and are discombobulated by human emotions, feelings and perceptions?

In the case of our bumbling authorities the answer is an unqualified “yes”. One just has to watch these semi-sentient organisms doing their little parliamentary pantomimes on TV to realise that, unless they have a couple of hundred numbers to fling to the four winds, they’re incomprehensible and as at ease as a long-tailed cat in roomful of rocking chairs.

Because of their shabby shambling examples, too many people who have to book the company brain cell months in advance think that’s the way to go — only they do it with recklessly ill-conceived PowerPoint presentations.

Ordinary Joe Soaps like you and me from New Zealand to New York were feeling edgy about where the economy seemed to be heading months before Freddie hit Fanny and the world’s economy fell out of its own bottom. But, hey, what do we know? We’re just ordinary Joes so we leave it up to the econo-monkeys. They’ve got all the facts.

Hah! Fat lot of good that did us.

Maybe that’s an extreme example and global economics probably shouldn’t pivot on hunches or undefined “feelings”. But when you have millions of people sharing their worries via Twitter or Facebook or email — and those worries are all ominously similar — you should wake up and toss the numbers.

The New York Times this week reports: “The rise of blogs and social networks has fuelled a bull market in personal opinion: reviews, ratings, recommendations and other forms of online expression. For computer scientists, this fast-growing mountain of data is opening a tantalising window onto the collective consciousness of internet users.

“An emerging field known as sentiment analysis is taking shape around one of the computer world’s unexplored frontiers: translating the vagaries of human emotion into hard data.

“This is more than just an interesting programming exercise. For many businesses, online opinion has turned into a kind of virtual currency that can make or break a product in the marketplace.

“Yet many companies struggle to make sense of the caterwaul of complaints and compliments that now swirl around their products online. As sentiment analysis tools begin to take shape, they could not only help businesses improve their bottom lines, but also eventually transform the experience of searching for information online.”

Associated Press did pioneering research into how the new news “consumers” of today get their news. But they did not follow conventional wisdom using market research tools and number crunchers. The AP researchers used sociologists and ethnographers in the US, Europe and India, and their methods were vastly different. But they took their findings beyond the cosiness of simply dumping data on the client; they deduced, inferred and advised AP on what it should do to ensure survival in a world where the major means of spreading news is the cellphone.

That meant completely rethinking the role of conventional news media, including the online media. It meant asking tough questions and implementing uncomfortable solutions.

That was back in 2007. And to date we have yet to see evidence that any major South African newspaper, radio station or TV broadcaster has paid one iota of attention to AP’s research findings.

Oh well. What’s that thing they say about taking a horse to water …




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14 Responses to “The unbearable fiction of facts”

Interesting premise, but would have been good to see some stats,

(Report abuse)

Nick on August 25th, 2009 at 12:30 pm

@ Nick

Surely the point of qualitative research is that it isn’t statistical. Doesn’t make it invalid, however!

(Report abuse)

Mike Green on August 25th, 2009 at 2:48 pm

Of course we’re thinking that maybe - just maybe - such research may be used positively, benevolently. Or maybe we know that’s just wishful thinking?

(Report abuse)

pete ess on August 25th, 2009 at 3:01 pm

Llewellyn claims awards in English. I presume American/Canadian English as he uses the word “discombulated”. Be that as it may, his phraseology is surely discombulating; his case could have been more readily understood if he written plain English.

The saying “Lies, damned lies and statistics” is attributed to British Prime Minister Benjamin Disraeli. That was a long time ago and the problem remains.

The situation is further aggravated by much of the media that revels in freedom of the press but fails the responsibilty this requires.

Given the superior intelligence of human beings it is the most stupid of all species; what hope is there for improvement?

(Report abuse)

Dick Corner on August 25th, 2009 at 3:25 pm

“Oh well.”?! You’ve given up? Those 20 panels haven’t helped? You cannot see the wood for the trees. Let me lead you to the right path, Grasshopper. In a democracy the people get the kind of Government they deserve. When the majority of voters are idiots, we vote in people like, Tony Blair, George Bush, Robert Mugabe, Obama (I forget; is this his first or last name?). If you doubt my theory, you have forgotten the idiots who kept voting in Apartheid for about forty years. If the ANC is as bad as you say, then the majority of SA voters are idiots. Solution? A qualified franchise, to weed out the retards. For more about a qualified franchise, contact me. About emotions: when I was a student (7000 years ago), very old teachers taught that real emotions are the raw ingredients. Aesthetic emotion cultivated through poetic/artistic expression is practical beauty shaped/grown/fashioned out of the raw stuff. Your teachers mentioned this?

(Report abuse)

Azra on August 25th, 2009 at 3:33 pm

Please pardon my pedantry, Dick, but the word I deliberately chose & used is discombobulated. And try as I may, I can’t find the word “discombulated” that you claim I use.

I would like to think readers - and specifically commentators - of Thought Leader would expect bloggers to be meticulous in their writing, combining rhetorical skills with linguistic dexterity in pursuit of accurate meaning and try to prevent ambiguity. Besides, discombobulated has such a delightful rhythmic poetry to it?

You would be interested, of course, to know that the word also formed the root of a new word coined by British psychiatrists to describe a now-recognised mental condition characterised by feelings of acute anxiety triggered by being unable to connect to the wired world and specifically the Internet. I jest not! Research findings indicate that nearly half of all Britons report such feelings including isolation, disempowerment, fear and so on. The scientists coined the term “discomgoogolation” (http://bit.ly/5iJb7) to describe the condition.

As an obviously erudite commentator, Dick, you’d immediately recognise the oddity in referring to Google, but spelling it “googol” which, as you know, is 10 to the power of 100.

Quaint, ain’t it, mate? Ta f’readin’,'ey!

(Report abuse)

Llewellyn Kriel on August 25th, 2009 at 4:46 pm

Azra, you’re beautiful… and crazy-good).
Lliwellyn, I found the other meaning to ‘discombobulated’, and its this: ‘profound emotional disconnection from anything that matters to oneself’… I am SERIOUS! Two really good questions that need answering from your topic are: How exactly do you feel about your life-circumstances and the role of the internet right this moment (the key being the word FEEL)? Dont say fine. thats a meaningless word. And then the next question: ‘What are the FACTS about those feelings?’
Emotions are a tough issue… yet often you hear people say thats the softer side of things. Thats lots of manure!
The issue of facts, fiction and emotions is tricky… sentiment kills, litarally. Just try telling someone that the history of his/her people is not what they know it to be. The world-wide-web can change a lot of things. But can it change our programming (biological or social engineering?)and pre-conditioning to want to separate, to NOT see the systemic interconnectedness of everything around us? Me thinks not…
Emotional? Nah! Its all just discombobulated…

Emotions are the most beautiful energy and TOOLS we have. They cannot lie like some politicians and journalists do regularly. They stay true.

(Report abuse)

Dumi on August 25th, 2009 at 8:16 pm

As a scientist, I work with hard numbers all the time. Hard numbers are the bread and butter of our business. I also know how easy it is to manipulate them to make them show whatever you want them to show. It comes down to your personal and professional integrity, whether or not your choose to show the world the answer that may be factually true, but not at all what you wanted it to be. In the scientific community at least we have some form of keeping things in check by using peer review panels.

It is much, much harder to deal with qualitative data, because it is that much more open to interpretation and hence manipulation by the person who does the interpreting.

I therefore have absolutely NO confidence in any statistic (quantitative, qualitative, emotive or otherwise) presented in the media or by politicians. I simply have no faith in their professional integrity (especially in the face of the absence of any review process).

They have a product to sell. And they will do anything to sell it. They all have my vote of no confidence.

(Report abuse)

Liza on August 26th, 2009 at 1:48 am

[…] Thought Leader » Llewellyn Kriel » The unbearable fiction of facts www.thoughtleader.co.za/llewellynkriel/2009/08/24/the-unbearable-fiction-of-facts – view page – cached […]

(Report abuse)


Quantifiable:
Anyone wonder why people under 50 - are so selfish and cruel ?
Late 1960’s Dr Spock said “Children must not be spanked’ “Left to find the “boundaries.”
2008 + “CHILDREN need boundaries & Limits.”

Old folks: Put baby against pillows, on side to break wind and any vomit will fall away. Became “old fashioned.”
“Babies must sleep on their stomachs.” “Cot Deaths” Mothers jailed for “smothering” baby. Dammit - Babies suffocate with VOMIT in the nose !

Old folks: Body knows what it needs.
Coffee, wine, oil, carbs, fat to name a few - are bad for you. ALL have since been “re-quantified” re-assessed - essential to well being. Spoil sports.
MEDITERRANEAN longevity - Oil, pasta, wine !

Old folks: Garlic is good for you; prevents disease. (Also evil spirits.) Smell offensive - avoid.
NOW? Anything bad for humans, you can name - Immune booster is Garlic !

Ja - Scientists know best and nullify everything proven over decades and centuries. Everything that is ghastly to the palate is “recommended.”
Ja - In RSA everything that can be diverted from the poor to the newly privileged, connected - will be diverted or “halted.”

(Report abuse)

mv2997 on August 26th, 2009 at 8:50 am

1998 - QUANTIFIABLE and QUALITATIVE.
NB - Not Race bean counting - “Social Wellbeing.”
Q: To name but a few of the total breakdown of “Social Wellbeing” necessities.
Has RSA society improved under ANC rulership with “Transformation”?

Teachers “compulsory packages.”
Training Colleges Closed : Teacher, Nursing, Trades apprenticeships - .
Hospitals, NGO’s, shut down.
Special Police Units - morphed into one of illiterate Saps in abundance.
Eskom skilled technicians “packages.”
Parliament: Whites winge - welcome to leave ! SKills exit.
ANY ?
New structures : Schools, Hospitals, Dams, Roads, Universities, Power Plants and basic HUMAN NEEDS !

(Report abuse)

mv2997 on August 26th, 2009 at 9:05 am

Touché Llewellyn! As if the Americans could come up with a delicious word like “discombobulated”!!

Perhaps this kind of research isn’t done, or if it has the results are tucked away in some dark place, because the results would be too terrifying to contemplate.

(Report abuse)

Lynne on August 26th, 2009 at 9:22 am

Hi Llewellyn, you’ll be please to know there is a qual research company doing exactly what you yearn for - exploring why people do and feel what they do, rather than just gathering info on what they do. Check out our website & give us a call if you wanna chat some more http://www.the-cia.co.za/

(Report abuse)

David Dunton on August 26th, 2009 at 12:33 pm

it is interesting to read people trying to play god, all clinging to an evasive notion of truth and nakedly parading half-baked specialities, award-winners, scientists, pseudo-philosophers you name it. haven’t you heard of half-truths and half-lies. whats left of the other half is a world in a daze folks. i hope thats not what you are all FEELING, dazzy.

(Report abuse)

pule on August 26th, 2009 at 2:46 pm

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