« Blog Home
1 Star2 Stars3 Stars4 Stars5 Stars
Loading ... Loading ...

A genocide which has claimed more lives than Adolf Hitler’s gas chambers: the 20th century African holocaust. Who is to blame this time? What devil lurks in the background wreaking such ruin on our people? The answer is plain and simple — party politics.

A chapter in the long Aids death march has come to a close. Last week in the National Council of Provinces, President Jacob Zuma made clear his unequivocal stance on the HIV-Aids crisis. I have regularly criticised his government on this site, but his clear and uncluttered statement on the national fight against HIV-Aids was the stuff; the raison d’etre of leadership.

I have watched the twists and turns of this unfolding tragedy with grim fascination. A day does not pass without me thinking about it. As of last month, the disease has killed an estimated 1 000 people every day, and at least 5.7 million people are infected. This is surely the most enigmatic nation in God’s creation, blessed and cursed in equal measure. Blessed with life and beauty, cursed by divisions and bureaucratic stumbling.

In 2004, not long after Thabo Mbeki’s government retreated from HIV-Aids denialism and began to roll out antiretroviral drugs, Mangosuthu Buthelezi lost two children to the scourge of this disease. He was one of the first major African leaders to publicly reveal that he had lost family members to HIV-Aids. Nelson Mandela did the same in 2005. These two gentlemen used their positions as respected statesman and traditional leaders to promote awareness around HIV-Aids. They did this even in difficult cultural and societal circumstances where the dreaded disease is under a shroud of stigma and silence.

My most poignant memory of this time was when Buthelezi was filmed walking on the edges of his children’s graves. Victoria Macdonald, the social affairs correspondent for British Channel 4 News had asked if we could arrange this for a piece about the Aids tragedy. I had delicately put the proposition to him and he had plaintively replied that he would do it — if it helped. And it did.

I will never forget his grace and dignity. Strangely, in our Alice-of-Wonderland reality, it was British and not South African viewers who saw these images. Not for the first time, I reflected on how few of us have any idea of how difficult it has been for our political leaders to lead on this issue. In the context of Mbeki’s denialist views which were elevated to state policy the constant trauma must have been staggering.

HIV-Aids is the greatest tragedy of post-apartheid South Africa. What is even worse is the fact that HIV-Aids is a political tragedy. This silent killer is the biggest challenge to both South Africa’s democracy and its security. On the ground, the pandemic has redrawn the social map of South Africa and redefined many interpersonal relationships. It has created brand new categories of Aids orphans, child-headed households, and terminally-ill patients who cannot perform their daily tasks without cumbersome assistance.

In purely statistical terms, the HIV-Aids pandemic has transformed South Africa in ways that no one thought possible 25 years ago. It has been calculated that without the blight of Aids, the average life expectancy would be 64 years. Today in South Africa, we can expect an average of only 54 years. Over half of 15-year-olds are not expected to reach the age of 60. Between 1990 and 2003 — a period during which HIV prevalence increased dramatically — South Africa fell 35 places on the Human Development Index.

South Africa’s hospitals are tottering under the numbers of HIV-related patients. Leading researchers estimate that HIV-positive patients will soon account for three quarters of the medical expenditure in South African hospitals. A clear theme runs through the literature on
South Africa’s response to the HIV-Aids epidemic: the fundamental role of party politics as distinct from the state’s response in discharging its public health responsibilities. It is almost impossible to imagine that party politics could have played such a role, for example, in the USA or Great Britain when Aids emerged in the 1980s, apart from on the far-right and Christian fundamentalist fringes. Political differences were nuanced and tended to revolve around education, awareness campaigns, the role of faith-based organisations, or the state as an arbiter and legislator of morality. They did not question the scientific evidence, the efficacy of medication, or, most fundamentally, the state’s obligation to intervene. This is not to say that stigma and prejudice were not part of the social and political landscape. They were. One recalls the blanket media attention when Diana, the Princess of Wales, merely shook hands with Aids victims in Britain in the 1980s. The point I am making is that the debate in these societies never became entrenched in partisan party political terms. Aids was, and is, essentially first and foremost a public health issue.

I cannot think of any body of literature, constituted of such disparate studies and writings about a major public-policy issue, which together forms an almost unified picture like a jigsaw puzzle. I have seen little, or perhaps no contradiction, in the literature I have reviewed in seeking to explain the impact of party politics on the provision of antiretroviral drugs since 1994, yet despite being a recurrent theme it is never a central question in any of them. Further, it would have been impossible to cherry pick literature to lead the reader to such a conclusion. Each study and theory provides a partial explanation of cause and effect. I would contend that party politics in and of itself provide little in the way of explanatory power. But it is only if we grasp the origins of party political positions or worldviews that we can understand the impact of party politics on the South African HIV-Aids discourse. Judge Edwin Cameron in Witness to Aids convincingly sketched the factors which led to the denialist theories becoming official government policy.

We see plainly how South Africa’s legacy of racialism and colonialism provided fertile ground for conspiracy theories to take root. We see how Mbeki conflated HIV-Aids with the noble quest to eradicate poverty and inequality and to restore Africa’s dignity. Only the most partisan opponent ascribes mendacious motives to Mbeki. None did in the literature I reviewed — and I think I have pretty much read most of it over the last decade. And yet, for him, there never was a debate about Aids; there was only a never-ending debate about race. Tony Leon in his memoir On the Contrary notes how Mbeki’s de-linking (disengaging the virus from the syndrome) of the virus and syndrome crept into the political lexicon of the Department of Health and became an inherent part of the internal discourse of the ANC.

He claims that “when the Health Department insisted that the disease be referred to as ‘HIV and Aids’ rather than the more conventional ‘HIV/Aids’ — thus de-linking the virus and the syndrome — the ANC faithfully complied”. This, of course, contributed to the cementing of the debate in partisan and polemical terms. As did the acrimonious exchange of correspondence between Leon and Mbeki pertaining to the efficacy of antiretroviral drugs at the turn of the century. There is a huge a gap in the literature about how the fraught relationship between these two protagonists contributed to the casting of the debate in party-political terms to the detriment of public health policy.

The Mbeki-Leon relationship was without doubt the most acrimonious relationship between a head of state and a leader of the opposition in modern times. Indeed, the two leaders only met formally after Leon resigned. Thus HIV-Aids, a public-health issue, was morphed into a partisan political issue under their respective terms of office (Mbeki 1999-2008/Leon 1999-2006). Simply put, the debate revolved around the dramatis personae rather than the substantive issues. Some might argue that Leon (as well as Mbeki) should have recused him/themselves from the debate, not because Leon’s technical arguments were not scientifically-based, but to allow HIV-AIDS to be refocused as a public health issue, as opposed to a political one.

There is a compelling argument, however, that such a course would have been an abdication of Leon’s constitutionally mandated role as leader of the opposition. As a very subjective opinion, I believe that Leon might have neutralised the political toxicity of this issue by adopting the bipartisanship style and spirit of the late senator Edward Kennedy. I am, of course, referring to the senator’s groundbreaking work in the United States Congress in his advocacy of healthcare initiatives. But, these things are very easy to say in hindsight. The flipside of the coin is whether the ruling party would have been amenable to such an approach. The most delicate question of all, in a scenario reconstruction, is how the debate would have played out if Tony Leon had delegated the issue to a black member of the DA with “struggle” credentials. I am thinking of figures such as the party’s national chairperson and former Robben Island prisoner, Joe Seremane.

Perhaps this would have “de-racialised” the debate — to interrogate Mbeki’s inversion of colonial and racial discourses. I informally put the question to Tony Leon just before he left to take up his ambassadorship in Argentina. “No” he replied without hesitation, “It would have made no difference at all”. I am sure he is right. Mbeki had set his course. In contrast to the top-down process of the state, the writer Jonny Steinberg has illustrated how from the community upwards — in South Africa’s poor and largely illiterate rural hinterland — stigma and sexuality takes on an extraordinary salience. Both worldviews, the state and the local, nourished the other and were informed by and informed party politics. Each worldview nourished the other in a symbiotic relationship where both are informed by party politics. Overall, the issue of providing antiretroviral drugs splintered almost precisely along party political lines.

This points, sadly, to the persistent dominance of identity politics in South Africa: a recurring theme on Thought Leader. Party politics determined which constituencies (opposition-led provinces) received lifesaving antiretroviral drugs first and, in the case of the national government and ruling-party led provinces, set the rollout back by precious years. To the present day, the government has not recovered lost ground. Nor will it. Above all else, this is the tragic story of a nation that has had to learn that Aids respects neither race nor political affiliation. Sometimes, in the early hours of the morning I think about these questions. Most of all I wonder, how did Thabo Mbeki get it so wrong? Mbeki is not an evil man. When an ordinary man makes a mistake in judgment the consequences are small. But Mbeki was no ordinary man. He had the well-being of a nation entrusted to him. Perhaps he succumbed to the same fantasies and hubris as the tragic Shakespearean hero, King Lear. A tragic hero gains insight through suffering, only to realise his mistake at the end.

I think we have suffered enough. Perhaps now he has gained the insight that previously eluded him, but in the meantime, 6 million people lay dying.




Related Posts

27 Responses to “What drove the Aids holocaust?”

10,9,8,7,6……

(Report abuse)

Kholekile Tshunungwa on November 5th, 2009 at 4:22 pm

Jon Cayser and your American look you amaze me. Canada producing figures that they claim to be extracts of a scientific research came up with 300 000 people who died as a result of Mbeki. You come up with 6 million, I hope you are not doing a diservice to the Jews. The concerted anti Mbeki campaign may continue but the facts will speak for themselves. Along the way the plotters will make ridiculous and interesting mistakes, time will tell

(Report abuse)

Una on November 5th, 2009 at 4:48 pm

Based on a wide range of data, including the household and antenatal studies, UNAIDS/WHO in July 2008 published an estimate of 18.1% prevalence in those aged 15-49 years old at the end of 2007. Their high and low estimates are 15.4% and 20.9% respectively. According to their own estimate of total population (which is another contentious issue), this implies that around 5.7 million South Africans were living with HIV at the end of 2007, including 280,000 children under 15 years old.

The ASSA2003 model produces a similar estimate of 5.4 million people living with HIV in mid-2006, or around 11% of the total population. It predicts that the number will exceed 6 million by 2015, by which time around 5.4 million South Africans will have died of AIDS.

@Una - It is estimated that 11 million people were killed during the Holocaust. Six million of these were Jews. Thus, the two genocides are similar in magnitude. I have not seen the Canadian study you cite - it would not remotely correspond to anyone elses estimates from here to Harvard.

(Report abuse)

Jon Cayzer on November 5th, 2009 at 5:24 pm

una: i have a friend from university who found out she was hiv positive her senior year of high school. she has been positive for almost 20 years; her children are hiv-negative high school students.

she will probably live long enough to die from something else because a) she is university educated and has a nice job b) she eats right and c) she doesn’t smoke or drink.

compare that to the face of south african hiv infection. most of them will probably die of hiv-related complication due to a) insufficient nutrition — in two ways; the first is that you need sufficient nutrition for the body to try to work on its immune system, and the fact that you need sufficient nutrition for the meds to work; and b) access to hiv medication isn’t given for free until your count is 200. in the states, you have the option of getting it while your count is still high.

6 million is probably a fair number to use, to be honest.

both mbeki and manto said that hiv was a disease of poverty, but they made the situation much, much worse from blocking proven medical interventions.

(Report abuse)

mundundu on November 5th, 2009 at 7:24 pm

I really don’t like the word holocaust in connection with AIDS. The holocaust was industrialised mass murder - AIDS isn’t.

(Report abuse)

peppi on November 5th, 2009 at 8:00 pm

What Drove the Aids holocaust? – Human Behaviour! Aids can be prevented. It is self-inflicted, not airborne or spread by insects or dirty water. Why is SA so affected? You state HIV-AIDS is a political tragedy – “This silent killer is the biggest challenge to both South Africa’s democracy and its security.”

First: Political corruption, nepotism and crime are the biggest challenges to both South Africa’s democracy and security.

“For Mbeki, there never was a debate about Aids; there was only a never-ending debate about race.” Now you are getting closer. “HIV-Aids is a political tragedy” – self inflicted denial – the ANC, not just Mbeki, refused to accept reality. They happily followed their leader like lemmings for years. Did Luthuli house or JZ or anyone stand up? Why? – Reality – why is Aids a pandemic in Black Communities and not in Asian, Coloured or White – could it be the lifestyle, parental moral standards etc.?

By admitting the facts “Over half of 15-year-olds are not expected to reach the age of 60.” Where will we find these unfortunates and in which communities? Now here is a real challenge for the ANCYL – go out spread the word – MONOGAMY – it’s in the Oxford English (I’m not sure about Julius’s) dictionary. Lead by example even the President now understands that you can’t shower the virus away.

(Report abuse)

Maurice Cowley on November 5th, 2009 at 9:16 pm

A thoughtful, incisive blog that certainly gives perspective when so much of politics feels like chickens running around headless.

This is one of the issues of our times - our elected officials should be serving our people and not the other way around.

Harsh truths such as those that Mr Cayzer hilights in his blog can be painful, but that is the best way toward change: know yourself, know your electorate and ultimately - serve their needs.

Keep it up Jon! Love the blog.

(Report abuse)

Nathan Savage on November 5th, 2009 at 9:25 pm

after the holocaust we had the nurenburg trials and the hangings that followed.the tragedy on our hands lies squarely on the people our taxes paid to look after our country.mbeki,manto and others must be hauled into court to answer for the misinformation and denialism that is responsible for the astronomical figures of aids statistics.

(Report abuse)

p.kaitakirwa on November 6th, 2009 at 8:19 am

Living in the world of public policy and politics, Mr Cayzer finds the causes of the epidemic almost exclusively in this area. The broad population is viewed as incapable of taking responsibility for personal behaviour.

The assumption is that the Prefrontal Cortex in most of the people of SA is undeveloped; therefore they must be ‘led’ so as not to commit suicide. From all the evidence, it appears that Mr Cayzer is correct on this.

In addition to the speeches it would help, though, if the President of SA did not himself indulge in the risky activities he warns against.

(Report abuse)

Jonathan Haze on November 6th, 2009 at 8:52 am

Now that Peppi has broached the subject: I too find the word holocaust strange in respect to AIDS deaths. Properly the Greek word from which it is derived refers to “a whole burnt offering”. To whom or to what have these people been offered….

(Report abuse)

John Blanckenberg on November 6th, 2009 at 10:50 am

What drove the AIDS holocaust was corporate profit. The drug AZT, developed in the 1960s, was available cheaply, but because of political factors in the US (chiefly the irresponsibility of the TAC in that country) its manufacturers got away with charging 100 times the cost of manufacture for the US government. Under those circumstances, being greedy and not caring about human life, the manufacturers insisted on charging the same for the rest of the world.

They only backed down (partly under the pressure of Thabo Mbeki and the South African government) in 2001 and slashed their profits to a more manageable 1000%.

Naturally, this obvious matter is not discussed by Mr. Cayzer.

(Report abuse)

MFB on November 6th, 2009 at 11:44 am

@Peppi The dictionary meaning of holocaust is ‘An act of mass destruction and loss of life’.
This is by definition a holocaust. The extent of the problem has been well known since the early 1990’s, yet nothing was done about it on purpose until quite recently i.e. a willful act that caused these deaths.

(Report abuse)

Robin Grant on November 6th, 2009 at 12:23 pm

Jon

This data is suspect otherwise population expansion figures in South Africa would not be at the level they are unless you want to say South Africans breed like monkeys. Only those who are prepared to read between the lines will nkow the whole truth. The British backed anti Thabo Mbeki campaign is well documented in international journals in articles produced by respected investigting journalists and the reasons for it. It is amazing that it is the same UN documentation that has records of, the tacit approval and how South Africa has been commended for having the most comprehensive AIDS implementation plan. Again I repeat time will tell

(Report abuse)

Una on November 6th, 2009 at 12:40 pm

Your figures are correct Jon - 7,000 people a day die from AIDS in Southern Africa. That is more than the number of people killed in one day in the September 11 attacks in the USA. It is ironic that September 11 should change “the world” forever, but the human cost of AIDS goes unnoticed. What does that tell us about power and negative othering of the African continent?

(Report abuse)

Suzanne on November 6th, 2009 at 12:43 pm

And what about the other political drivers of the disease?
Child welfare grants in the face of utter poverty; no state orphanages, no decent education system and I still maintain (although it’s merely a shrewd guess) that South Africa will never be able to maintain or roll out its ARV programme to the extent it is really necessary.
There used to be a phrase that described this sort of thing: ‘farting against thunder’. Get more people into jobs, thus broadening the tax base, for without better control of more public money, this could be a 200-year war.
Perhaps the media (at the end of every story)should estimate the number of AIDS deaths that could be avoided every time a public official embezzles public funds or needlessly overspends his/her budget.

(Report abuse)

MLH on November 6th, 2009 at 1:15 pm

Highly educated/informed people like judge Cameron, Buthelezi’s child/ren, Mandela’son and His Excellency President Zuma knew that one can contract aids through unprotected sex. And you still blame Mbeki and Manto. Mbeki and Manto were supposed to be in the love nests of all who are infected or died of AIDs. It is very nice to point a finger to the next person.

(Report abuse)

Davhana on November 6th, 2009 at 2:59 pm

Sadly, Jon, our African leadership in SA will never own up to their role in abetting this holocaust. They’ll blame pharma, Western imperialists, etc, or even blame it on Thabo. Then, Thabo’s apologists will deny he ever denied anything; daring you to show direct evidence (which BTW can take me 3 seconds to uncover).

And you know what is sad ? HIV/AIDS is just one of many to come.

“The only civilizations that survive are those that are knowledgeable of, and that can cope with their surroundings.”, one friend of mine used to say. So, if we carry on with half-baked and leftover politics based on a childlike understanding of our environment, the environment responds in kind. BOOM !

After a while, say a few more million deaths, our stubborn self-serving governments will come to terms with the fact that they don’t know much about a whole lot of stuff, that the way to fix our problems, poverty, etc, is not cast on some ideological stone, that unexpected problems like health epidemics, floods and global warming may take over any fancy prepackaged ideological programme, if not altogether subvert it worse than any counterrevolutionary force ever known on earth.

Simply put, we as a civilization, a country survive only when led by a knowledgeable and ready leadership in this cruel environment. Sadly, ours is not such kind of leadership, despite their noble intentions. AIDS was the first real test and we failed dismally. One wonders, how many more ?

(Report abuse)

Kholekile Tshunungwa on November 6th, 2009 at 4:23 pm

um, una? that “best campaign” in south africa? mbeki had nothing to do with it. his government actively countered it and had to be SUED to make it happen.

unlike in many other countries, the government actually listened to the courts, but they were dragged into the implementation kicking and screaming. as such, mbeki deserves no credit.

(Report abuse)

mundundu on November 6th, 2009 at 5:32 pm

If you believe it is a Halocast. We all know who was the most to Blame Manto shabalala and the entire ANC cadre who did not stand for what was right. Not that I care a damn either, but then what does my voice count?

(Report abuse)

Hugh Robinson on November 6th, 2009 at 6:14 pm

When Apartheid itself was laid to rest in 1994 no one who struggled against Apartheid envisaged being saddled with an even bigger social problem than Apartheid, namely HIV/AIDS. This was, I think, particularly true of the comrades who were looking forward to being able to devote themselves to the perks of office and the legacy problems spawned by Apartheid. The reality of HIV/AIDS cut right across this prospect so it was psychologically convenient to deny the existence of the burgeoning pandemic.

(Report abuse)

Rory Short on November 6th, 2009 at 6:21 pm

@robin - which dictionary?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocaust
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocaust_%28disambiguation%29

sorry but AIDS is not a holocaust and i don’t like the inflationary use of the word on this blog.

(Report abuse)

peppi on November 6th, 2009 at 7:28 pm

Davhana - The point is not about abrogating individual responsibility for sexual behaviour. The point being made is that Thabo and Manto actively halted programmes and treatment. Controversy was ignited by Mbeki’s speech to Parliament in October 1999 where he questioned the safety of AZT treatment. This was soon followed by a directive from the Minister for Health to the Medical Control Council to re-examine the safety of AZT before it could be used in Prevention of Mother to Child Transmission. Mbeki went even further with his wild claims as he ‘raised concerns’ about what he saw as a capitalist plot by the pharmaceutical companies producing ARVs to peddle them to poor Africans. He polarised and racialised the debate and in doing so stopped treatment.

The debate here is about willful neglect of the poor and ill by refusing them treatment - a different debate than prevention.

The cruel irony of Mbeki’s position is that by racialising the debate he allowed poor Africans to die.

(Report abuse)

Michael Francis on November 6th, 2009 at 8:56 pm

@John Blanckenberg -

You just triggered a memory for me from my fieldwork in the Drakensberg Mountains. You say the proper/histrocial meaning of holocaust is “a whole burnt offering”. I recall sitting with a dying man in a shack in the Berg. We washed and dressed his sores, two days later he passed away. We burnt imphephu in the back of the hut to help send his spirit on its journey to the next world. 10 months later his family did the same. All across Southern Africa people are offering up little burnt offerings for their recently departed. If they came together it would be one huge burnt offering. And what have they been offered up for?

Hubris? Vanity? How many more burnt offerings must be done? How many are enough?

(Report abuse)

Michael Francis on November 6th, 2009 at 9:07 pm

All of a sudden Adolf Hilter has been given a promotion, whatever dude. Not a day in hell is Hilter anyway better than anyone or any disease.

(Report abuse)

Phizar on November 7th, 2009 at 1:52 am

Great article!! Write more!

(Report abuse)

Sello on November 8th, 2009 at 12:32 am

Has any one ever investigated what role pharmaceutical companies played in this whole AIDS debate? OIne thing i have noticed in this world is if you ask a question you are not supposed to ask you get crucified, we just have to go with what we are told and dare not raise an eyebrow. Honestly pharmaceutical have money to make in the continent even if it means they give us medicine that dont work. Reminds me of this story http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/157405.php

Makes you wonder what we really know as ordinary people.

(Report abuse)

Clay on November 9th, 2009 at 8:47 am

This is a very infuriating debate as far as I am aware I have never read anywhere that the Former President Mbeki was involved in the invention of HIV all that I am aware of is that like all of us he read what was already available in the public domain, now when was it ever a crime to ask a question that was already asked by the scientists anyway? Why is it that the writer of this article does not say anything about the people made AIDS and HIV in the first place? Why do we pretend like this is not already in the public domain? Now why should the people that did not make this virus have their reputaions damaged when real culprits are smiling with lots and lots of millions if not bilions of dollars in their bank accounts? Is this not sad?

(Report abuse)

Pat on November 11th, 2009 at 12:19 pm

Leave a Reply

All comments must be approved by our editors, click here to read the editorial guidelines for comments. Please allow some time for our editors to approve your comment after posting.

Send me the Thought Leader daily newsletter

We have put a word limit of 250 words on all your comments


words left

profile
Jon is a Mason Fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government and was recently awarded the Gundle South Africa Public Service Fellowship. As well as participating in the Mason Program, he is studying for a Masters Degree in Public Administration and Management.

Jon has served as the private secretary to elder statesman, Mangosuthu Buthelezi and, more recently, briefly as the Head of Ministry of Transport and Public Works in the Western Cape Provincial Government.

Jon is a committed liberal democrat and is a member of the Democratic Alliance. In 2000 he worked as a consultant policy writer for the then Democratic Party.

Jon is a graduate of public policy and politics, and has also studied in South Africa, the United Kingdom and the Czech Republic.

cayzer_jon@hotmail.com
Tell a Friend Technorati RSS
more posts
A large ominous shadow loomed about two metres away. Then a roll and the distinct white belly. I was in striking distance of man's most feared predato...
Is Africa advancing? This was the crisp question we asked ourselves at the Mo Ibrahim shindig in Dar es Salaam two weeks ago. The Prize Committee had ...
A funeral attended by presidents past and present. It is Senator Edward Kennedy's final farewell held at Our Lady of Perpetual Help in Boston. A milie...
On cue, at 12h25, just five minutes before President Jacob Zuma was due to give an economic briefing at Tuynhuys, the wind picked up in the parliament...
"Premier appoints all male cabinet", "All male cabinet is a betrayal of women" ranted the headlines in May. I am writing, of course, of the headlines ...
latest activity
Blog Statistics
Total reads 23488
Total comments 315
Jon's tags
advertisement
    Mail & Guardian Online Headlines
  • National
  • Business
  • Africa
  • World
  • Sport
All material copyright of the author, or the Mail & Guardian, unless otherwise specified
Author Login
Afrigator