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Quality newspapers are in trouble. The local daily printed newspapers are in even bigger trouble. I know this because I am a news junkie, and I haven’t bough a daily paper in ages. I even cancelled my subscription, and I am sucker for convenience.

My interaction with newspapers goes something like this: on the morning school drive I will glance at the street-pole headlines. Often, they tell me everything I need to know right there (”Heart op man doing fine“) or they will allude to something covered on radio the previous afternoon (”Petrol stations to close at night“). Sometimes, they will have a grabbing headline, which will cause me to turn on the radio for news, call someone for more info or save it for when I am in front of the computer.

When I do get to the computer, I go to the main news sites and browse through what interests me. During the day I get the breaking news via Twitter or my RSS feed. When I find an interesting story online, I can read it and click through immediately to read other sources of information, and usually I can comment and read what others have to say.

On the rare occasion I do buy a newspaper, I am always left feeling disappointed. The quality of reporting is shocking, I don’t like the story mix, international news is hidden somewhere on double-digit pages and there isn’t much else.

I can get every single piece of relevant information online that is available in a newspaper. For free. And very often with an added layer of convenience or instant gratification. (Admittedly, a website I often use is the Times Online, which is a local paper born in the “new era” and which seems to “get it”. The Mail & Guardian Online is also, of course, superb. )

And that is pretty much the problem. Local printed newspapers have managed to survive only because internet usage is still relatively low, and because people are locked into the convenience of door delivery. But consider this: the people who read the paper are the people who are most likely going to become internet users, if they are not ones already.

Most important, the news is updated online as often as the story requires. Not so, obviously, with printed media. For example, when I watched the Eurocup 2008, I would have had to wait for the late edition of the paper the next day to read about the previous night’s game.

To be clear: just because printed newspapers are dying does not mean that the media company needs to die with them. But it must evolve. It must get online, build a strong presence and grab market share there while it still can.

People will always be hungry for well-reported, relevant news. I hope that never changes. Local newspapers would be smart to divert their printing budget to investigative reporting and good writers, and sell their goods online.

The maths makes sense too. Right now, a half-page ad in the Star costs about R65 000 and is worth nothing the day after it appears. Online, that budget could be used to create a very targeted, efficient and result-driven campaign that would bring measurable and clear results, spread over days. And, once again, just because the target audience does not yet have access to the internet, it does not mean that it never will.

There is another caveat: the internet teaches us that we, as an audience, have an important voice, and when it comes to news we will want to exercise it too. We will soon demand to be able to interact, comment on and rate stories and their writers. The only place that can be done is online.

To make matters worse, it no longer helps to hold on to the “in hand better than on screen” philosophy. The next generation of potential newspaper readers is growing up with cellphones as their main communication centres. Small screens are a feature, not a hindrance.

The international big names (New York Times, Washington Post) have been playing the online game for a long time, and even now they are struggling to get it right. The Washington Post print division just reported its second-ever loss (operating loss of $5,3-million for second quarter), which was attributed to a 22% dive in print advertising, and only a 4% rise in online advertising.

Overall, in the US, print ad sales fell a billion dollars in the last quarter of 2007, from the same period the year before. And online ad sales only rose by $135-million. In fact, print sales are at 1997 levels! (From Techcrunch.)

Right now, we refer to the internet-abled communication as “new media”. But it won’t be new forever. Soon, even in South Africa, the people who consume the news the most will do so via their computers or their cellphones.

So if you print newspapers for a living, and unless you are printing tabloids or target a specific sector of the population that might indeed prefer to hold a newspaper rather than a mouse in their hands, you’d better start adapting. And fast.

Or you’ll be old news.




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16 Responses to “Death of newspapers nigh?”

Post printed news can be a good thing considering no more ink on your hands or the need to fell trees for paper. I gave up reading printed news a long time ago and have only recently started to read online news. The links make online news more interesting but there are days when the headlines fail to entice me to read further.

(Report abuse)

Eric on August 5th, 2008 at 3:44 pm

Its still nice to read the paper on a sunday morning. The reality though is that it cannot compete with online offerings. Once more and more people start using PDA’s and iPhone type technology a bit more, you are going to see even fewer newspapers sold.

The community newspapers I dont think will suffer as much though. Its your national newspapers.

(Report abuse)

Dean on August 5th, 2008 at 4:19 pm

[…] knows that print media is in trouble, but Bruce Sterling thinks blogging is dead too. He said so on his blog. (Oh, the […]

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Constant Flux › Is Blogging Dead? on August 5th, 2008 at 4:56 pm

community newspapers have no appeal for you? what would make community newspapers appealing?

(Report abuse)

amandzing on August 5th, 2008 at 5:27 pm

Very true. The end of newspapers is almost here.

By the time they deliver the newspaper here the news is already old.

(Report abuse)

esvl on August 5th, 2008 at 5:36 pm

Indeed, only few papers will make it online.
Oooops!
The Daily Sun should start worrying, because (here online) we won’t read poppycock stories of Tokoloshes giving births, flying breads and chitchatting goats. We’re too smart to believe such. They must just pray that the usage of internet remains as is. Because very soon, people will stop believing in such kak stories and therefore the sales of that tabloid will eventual fall.

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Siphiwo Qangani with kangaroos on August 5th, 2008 at 7:43 pm

I do think newspaper sales will further drop, but the appeal of online news is only one reason for this. The generation growing up now are becoming more and more aliterate - they don’t want to read the news, on paper or on screen.

There is also little sign that a critical mass of thinkers are being developed for a vibrant public sphere (alas, the Mxit and MTV leaders of tomorrow)

The internet’s potential as a public sphere where debate and expression runs free is enormous. But it’s only the urban middle class who will benefit.

The Daily Sun will stay in business for a long time to come. The pace of economic transformation in SA is not sufficient to narrow the digital divide within our borders.

I’ll stick to my hard copy, but also make a daily trip online. Instant commenting is hard to resist!

(Report abuse)

Suntosh on August 5th, 2008 at 11:09 pm

@dean
Indeed, there is something decadent about the weekend paper. I don’t see that disappearing any time soon

@amandzing
When I say newspapers, I mean those dailies that claim to deliver “news”. I actually enjoy the community newspapers, and I think they are going to go from strength to strength, mainly becasue they deliver highly relevant information to a very targetted audience. That is paradise for advertisers, which means revenue should always be strong. And, of course, the fact that they are free and delivered to my door also helps!

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Eve Dmochowska on August 6th, 2008 at 9:43 am

Siphiwo, the “death” of traditional South African dailies as predicted by Eve and others won’t touch tabloids - the Daily Sun will continue to grow and grow, as its readers by and large do not have access to the internet.

As a newspaper journalist, this sort of post just depresses me. *sigh* American newspapers are floundering, I gather there’s some major retrenchments happening in British newspapers, and perhaps we’re the next to be hit. I’m sure the ruling party won’t miss us! *grin*

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Tash Joseph on August 6th, 2008 at 2:16 pm

Decadently, I read the Weekender and Sunday Independent on my stoep, feet up with a beer or two. It’s great reading and superb relaxation.
The tactile and involving usage of the medium reminds me of when I gave up smoking. I had to buy a beautifully crafted knife and sticks of biltong to carve, to occupy my hands and replace the ritual of smoking.
No online immediacy can supplant that experience of physical submersion in a medium.

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Nigel on August 6th, 2008 at 4:17 pm

I also think that there is too much negative news being printed and that does not give hope too. I have met a lot of people who have decided to stop reading newspaper cos they were getting disillusioned. I think a bit of positivity and news that build and not destroy a nation would help. I don’t think its that bad…when Zuma is being given all the attention for all the wrong reason there is another person who is doing a lot of good. Why are we not talking about those people, thosepositive events?

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Tumi on August 6th, 2008 at 4:20 pm

@Eve you are absolutely right. These days I only buy a newspaper occasionally at the weekends, dailies never. I get my news online. The print dailies have simply got to update their business models if they want to stay in business.

(Report abuse)

Rory Short on August 6th, 2008 at 5:35 pm

Funny how the biggest newspaper in the world The Sun in uk is full of tits, footie , and loads of far left stories . Only reason i bought that paper was for the tits.

Otherwise i have my igoogle home page set with news widgets .

(Report abuse)

Sidakwa on August 6th, 2008 at 6:49 pm

I think we can pontificate quite accurately, for example, on the prospects for airlines, tourism, banks and suburbia. Even on national economies and the world economy. The Media is not so easy. Right now we are seeing newspaper sales falling around the world. So is the answer to do everything online?

The problem is that once you go online you do require one small system to be functioning: electricity. You might think something as simple as electricity (and water supply, and driving somewhere) are guaranteed in the medium term. Think again.

There are more than a few reasons electricity is not guaranteed, just one of them is the price of coal. As oil depletes, coal is increasingly becoming a substitute, and what do most of the world’s power stations consume? The price of coal has increased faster than the price of oil, and coal shortages are also imminent.
1 year ago oil was $76 (per barrel), coal was $59 (per ton). Today Oil is around $120, coal is $155 (last week it was $169).
Sure, there’s a lot of the stuff left, but there are also many hungry mouthes to feed, and the number of mouthes is growing alarmingly.

So let’s get back to the question - paper or internet news? The answer will depend on:
1) the number of online users currently as a percentage of the total (in the US and UK, and Korea, internet users are significant, in SA around 10% or less of the total)
2) the level of energy saving from that process

In my humble opinion, newspapers in South Africa will survive, and the internet will not. The reverse would be true in the U|SA, Kore and elsewhere, although these trends will only take affect once oil goes from $150 into the great beyond (or, when we’re in The Greatest Depression. With oil at $115 this might seem far-fetched. I hope it is, but logic tells me otherwise.

What we can safely assume is that our choices will decline drastically in future, and those industries that are well established now (market leaders) and also those with porven sustainability (this is linked to efficiency) will survive. In plain English, Coke will survive, Fanta, Pepsi, Spar Letta, Irn Bru and all the rest will disappear. It’s survival of the fittest at its cruellest.

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Nick on August 7th, 2008 at 1:41 pm

Newspapers will survive IF they are not ONLY news but ALSO analysis. That is what I buy my daily for - in depth analysis.

And research has proven that the more people get involved the MORE information they want - from all sources.

And you forget all those busy career men and women who WORK almost 24/7 - for whom a morning daily is the easiest and fastest way to skim the news.

AND all those men who simply can’t do their morning visits to the loo without a paper to read? Their plumbing seems to be different to ours!

(Report abuse)

Lyndall Beddy on August 8th, 2008 at 4:05 am

@Nick,

No, I disagree. Strongly.

If you think it is presumptuous to think we are guaranteed electricity in the medium term, then let me retort that I think it is presumptuous to think that coal/oil are the only source of power. Clearly, they’re not.

And if the Internet were too fail because of lack of electricity, then actually that would be our smallest problem .

And out choices are not being reduced…the exact opposite, actually. Long Tail, anyone?

(Report abuse)

Eve Dmochowska on August 8th, 2008 at 9:02 am

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Eve Dmochowska spends her day playing on and with the Internet, and thinks it is a rather fun way to make money.

She is the founder of Crowdfund, a crowd sourced fund to help local online startups get off the ground, and of the Geekspace, Joburgs first hot desking space for geeks.

She is also the co-founder of The Broadband Bible which helps SAfricans find the perfect ADSL plan and the Airtime Bible, which compares the costs of cellphone contracts.

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